Handelsinvest Danmark (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 425.22

HAIDK Fund  DKK 426.34  0.21  0.05%   
Handelsinvest Danmark's future price is the expected price of Handelsinvest Danmark instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Handelsinvest Danmark performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Handelsinvest Danmark Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Handelsinvest Danmark Correlation, Handelsinvest Danmark Hype Analysis, Handelsinvest Danmark Volatility, Handelsinvest Danmark History as well as Handelsinvest Danmark Performance.
  
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Handelsinvest Danmark Target Price Odds to finish below 425.22

The tendency of Handelsinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 425.22  or more in 90 days
 426.34 90 days 425.22 
about 24.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Handelsinvest Danmark to drop to kr 425.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 24.08 (This Handelsinvest Danmark probability density function shows the probability of Handelsinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Handelsinvest Danmark price to stay between kr 425.22  and its current price of kr426.34 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Handelsinvest Danmark has a beta of 0.0607. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Handelsinvest Danmark average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Handelsinvest Danmark will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Handelsinvest Danmark has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Handelsinvest Danmark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Handelsinvest Danmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Handelsinvest Danmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
425.57426.34427.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
425.07425.84426.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
426.17426.94427.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
412.29426.56440.83
Details

Handelsinvest Danmark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Handelsinvest Danmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Handelsinvest Danmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Handelsinvest Danmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Handelsinvest Danmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
10.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Handelsinvest Danmark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Handelsinvest Danmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Handelsinvest Danmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Handelsinvest Danmark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Handelsinvest Danmark Technical Analysis

Handelsinvest Danmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Handelsinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Handelsinvest Danmark. In general, you should focus on analyzing Handelsinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Handelsinvest Danmark Predictive Forecast Models

Handelsinvest Danmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Handelsinvest Danmark's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Handelsinvest Danmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Handelsinvest Danmark

Checking the ongoing alerts about Handelsinvest Danmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Handelsinvest Danmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Handelsinvest Danmark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Handelsinvest Fund

Handelsinvest Danmark financial ratios help investors to determine whether Handelsinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Handelsinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Handelsinvest Danmark security.
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