Aberdeen Equity A Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.75

GXXAX Fund  USD 12.74  0.26  2.08%   
Aberdeen's future price is the expected price of Aberdeen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aberdeen Equity A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aberdeen Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aberdeen Correlation, Aberdeen Hype Analysis, Aberdeen Volatility, Aberdeen History as well as Aberdeen Performance.
  
Please specify Aberdeen's target price for which you would like Aberdeen odds to be computed.

Aberdeen Target Price Odds to finish below 11.75

The tendency of Aberdeen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.75  or more in 90 days
 12.74 90 days 11.75 
about 14.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen to drop to $ 11.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.62 (This Aberdeen Equity A probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Equity A price to stay between $ 11.75  and its current price of $12.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aberdeen has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen Equity A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen Equity A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aberdeen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Equity A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7512.4813.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6412.3713.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9012.6313.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1712.3512.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aberdeen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aberdeen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aberdeen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aberdeen Equity A.

Aberdeen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Equity A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Aberdeen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Equity A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Aberdeen Equity A retains 98.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Aberdeen Technical Analysis

Aberdeen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Equity A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aberdeen Predictive Forecast Models

Aberdeen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aberdeen Equity A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Equity A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Aberdeen Equity A retains 98.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen security.
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments