Greenway Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.97

GWTI Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  41.67%   
Greenway Technologies' future price is the expected price of Greenway Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Greenway Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Greenway Technologies Backtesting, Greenway Technologies Valuation, Greenway Technologies Correlation, Greenway Technologies Hype Analysis, Greenway Technologies Volatility, Greenway Technologies History as well as Greenway Technologies Performance.
  
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Greenway Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 17.97

The tendency of Greenway Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.97  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 17.97 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greenway Technologies to move over $ 17.97  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Greenway Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Greenway Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greenway Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 17.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.3 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Greenway Technologies will likely underperform. Moreover Greenway Technologies has an alpha of 1.027, implying that it can generate a 1.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Greenway Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greenway Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenway Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greenway Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0318.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0218.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0118.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.05
Details

Greenway Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greenway Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greenway Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greenway Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greenway Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Greenway Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greenway Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greenway Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greenway Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Greenway Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Greenway Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Greenway Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Greenway Technologies currently holds about 35.19 K in cash with (791.91 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Greenway Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greenway Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greenway Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenway Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding355.1 M

Greenway Technologies Technical Analysis

Greenway Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greenway Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenway Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greenway Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Greenway Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Greenway Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Greenway Technologies' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greenway Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Greenway Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greenway Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greenway Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greenway Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Greenway Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Greenway Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Greenway Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Greenway Technologies currently holds about 35.19 K in cash with (791.91 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Greenway Pink Sheet

Greenway Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greenway Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greenway with respect to the benefits of owning Greenway Technologies security.