G Tec (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.39

GTECJAINX   38.75  1.41  3.78%   
G Tec's future price is the expected price of G Tec instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of G Tec Jainx Education performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out G Tec Backtesting, G Tec Valuation, G Tec Correlation, G Tec Hype Analysis, G Tec Volatility, G Tec History as well as G Tec Performance.
  
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G Tec Target Price Odds to finish below 34.39

The tendency of GTECJAINX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  34.39  or more in 90 days
 38.75 90 days 34.39 
about 12.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G Tec to drop to  34.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.08 (This G Tec Jainx Education probability density function shows the probability of GTECJAINX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G Tec Jainx price to stay between  34.39  and its current price of 38.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G Tec has a beta of 0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, G Tec average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding G Tec Jainx Education will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally G Tec Jainx Education has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   G Tec Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for G Tec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G Tec Jainx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4238.6441.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.3332.5542.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.2140.4443.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.9836.6940.41
Details

G Tec Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G Tec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G Tec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G Tec Jainx Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G Tec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
9.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

G Tec Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of G Tec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for G Tec Jainx can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G Tec Jainx generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
G Tec Jainx has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: G-Tec Jainx Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 2.17 crore, up 9.65 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol

G Tec Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GTECJAINX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential G Tec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G Tec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.2 M

G Tec Technical Analysis

G Tec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GTECJAINX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G Tec Jainx Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing GTECJAINX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

G Tec Predictive Forecast Models

G Tec's time-series forecasting models is one of many G Tec's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G Tec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about G Tec Jainx

Checking the ongoing alerts about G Tec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for G Tec Jainx help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G Tec Jainx generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
G Tec Jainx has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: G-Tec Jainx Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 2.17 crore, up 9.65 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol

Other Information on Investing in GTECJAINX Stock

G Tec financial ratios help investors to determine whether GTECJAINX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GTECJAINX with respect to the benefits of owning G Tec security.