Garda Tujuh (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 244.86
| GTBO Stock | IDR 248.00 8.00 3.33% |
Garda |
Garda Tujuh Target Price Odds to finish below 244.86
The tendency of Garda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 244.86 or more in 90 days |
| 248.00 | 90 days | 244.86 | about 10.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Garda Tujuh to drop to 244.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.59 (This Garda Tujuh Buana probability density function shows the probability of Garda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Garda Tujuh Buana price to stay between 244.86 and its current price of 248.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Garda Tujuh has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Garda Tujuh average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Garda Tujuh Buana will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Garda Tujuh Buana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Garda Tujuh Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Garda Tujuh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garda Tujuh Buana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Garda Tujuh Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Garda Tujuh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Garda Tujuh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Garda Tujuh Buana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Garda Tujuh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Garda Tujuh Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Garda Tujuh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Garda Tujuh Buana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Garda Tujuh Buana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (214.08 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Garda Tujuh Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Garda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Garda Tujuh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garda Tujuh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Garda Tujuh Technical Analysis
Garda Tujuh's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Garda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Garda Tujuh Buana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Garda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Garda Tujuh Predictive Forecast Models
Garda Tujuh's time-series forecasting models is one of many Garda Tujuh's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Garda Tujuh's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Garda Tujuh Buana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Garda Tujuh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Garda Tujuh Buana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Garda Tujuh Buana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (214.08 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Garda Stock
Garda Tujuh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Garda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Garda with respect to the benefits of owning Garda Tujuh security.