Gorilla Technology Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.99

GRRR Stock  USD 23.52  0.81  3.33%   
Gorilla Technology's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Gorilla Technology Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Gorilla Technology based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Gorilla Technology Group over a specific time period. For example, GRRR250117C00022500 is a PUT option contract on Gorilla Technology's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2025-01-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 12 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 5th of January is 12.0. View All Gorilla options

Closest to current price Gorilla long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Gorilla Technology's future price is the expected price of Gorilla Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gorilla Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gorilla Technology Backtesting, Gorilla Technology Valuation, Gorilla Technology Correlation, Gorilla Technology Hype Analysis, Gorilla Technology Volatility, Gorilla Technology History as well as Gorilla Technology Performance.
  
As of 01/05/2025, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 3.21, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.61. Please specify Gorilla Technology's target price for which you would like Gorilla Technology odds to be computed.

Gorilla Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 3.99

The tendency of Gorilla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.99  in 90 days
 23.52 90 days 3.99 
about 73.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gorilla Technology to stay above $ 3.99  in 90 days from now is about 73.1 (This Gorilla Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Gorilla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gorilla Technology price to stay between $ 3.99  and its current price of $23.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gorilla Technology Group has a beta of -2.07. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Gorilla Technology Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Gorilla Technology is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Gorilla Technology Group has an alpha of 3.0876, implying that it can generate a 3.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gorilla Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gorilla Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gorilla Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3423.5232.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.6315.8124.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.9427.1136.29
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.3514.6716.28
Details

Gorilla Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gorilla Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gorilla Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gorilla Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gorilla Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.07
σ
Overall volatility
5.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Gorilla Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gorilla Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gorilla Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gorilla Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gorilla Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gorilla Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Gorilla Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Gorilla Technology Soars 34.7 percent Should You Ride the AI Wave

Gorilla Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gorilla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gorilla Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gorilla Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34.1 M

Gorilla Technology Technical Analysis

Gorilla Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gorilla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gorilla Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gorilla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gorilla Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Gorilla Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gorilla Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gorilla Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gorilla Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gorilla Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gorilla Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gorilla Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gorilla Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gorilla Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Gorilla Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Gorilla Technology Soars 34.7 percent Should You Ride the AI Wave

Additional Tools for Gorilla Stock Analysis

When running Gorilla Technology's price analysis, check to measure Gorilla Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gorilla Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Gorilla Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gorilla Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gorilla Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gorilla Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.