Us Global Investors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03

GROW Stock  USD 2.43  0.01  0.41%   
US Global's future price is the expected price of US Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of US Global Investors performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out US Global Backtesting, US Global Valuation, US Global Correlation, US Global Hype Analysis, US Global Volatility, US Global History as well as US Global Performance.
  
At this time, US Global's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 39.11 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.71 in 2024. Please specify US Global's target price for which you would like US Global odds to be computed.

US Global Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03

The tendency of GROW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 2.43 90 days 0.03 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Global to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This US Global Investors probability density function shows the probability of GROW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Global Investors price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $2.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Global Investors has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding US Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, US Global Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally US Global Investors has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   US Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for US Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Global Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.282.433.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.912.063.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.302.453.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.382.422.46
Details

US Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Global Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

US Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Global Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Global Investors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 25th of November 2024 US Global paid $ 0.0075 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Race Out To Buy U.S. Global Investors, Inc. Just Because Its Going Ex-Dividend

US Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GROW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37 M

US Global Technical Analysis

US Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GROW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Global Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing GROW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

US Global Predictive Forecast Models

US Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about US Global Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about US Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Global Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Global Investors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 25th of November 2024 US Global paid $ 0.0075 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Race Out To Buy U.S. Global Investors, Inc. Just Because Its Going Ex-Dividend

Additional Tools for GROW Stock Analysis

When running US Global's price analysis, check to measure US Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Global is operating at the current time. Most of US Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.