Graphex Group Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.39
| GRFX Stock | USD 0.19 0.01 5.00% |
Graphex |
Graphex Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.39
The tendency of Graphex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.39 or more in 90 days |
| 0.19 | 90 days | 0.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graphex Group to move over $ 0.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Graphex Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Graphex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graphex Group Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.19 and $ 0.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Graphex Group Limited has a beta of -1.13. This usually indicates Additionally Graphex Group Limited has an alpha of 0.5983, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Graphex Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graphex Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphex Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graphex Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graphex Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graphex Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graphex Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graphex Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Graphex Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graphex Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graphex Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graphex Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Graphex Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Graphex Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Graphex Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Graphex Group Limited currently holds 233.16 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Graphex Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Graphex Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 291.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (113.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 119.96 M. | |
| Graphex Group Limited currently holds about 27.29 M in cash with (11.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Graphex Group Limited Shares Dive 52 percent - Simply Wall St |
Graphex Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graphex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graphex Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphex Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 763.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.2 M |
Graphex Group Technical Analysis
Graphex Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graphex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graphex Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graphex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graphex Group Predictive Forecast Models
Graphex Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graphex Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graphex Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graphex Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graphex Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graphex Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graphex Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Graphex Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Graphex Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Graphex Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Graphex Group Limited currently holds 233.16 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Graphex Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Graphex Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 291.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (113.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 119.96 M. | |
| Graphex Group Limited currently holds about 27.29 M in cash with (11.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Graphex Group Limited Shares Dive 52 percent - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Graphex Stock Analysis
When running Graphex Group's price analysis, check to measure Graphex Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphex Group is operating at the current time. Most of Graphex Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphex Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphex Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphex Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.