Green Brick Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.11
| GRBK Stock | USD 57.47 0.16 0.28% |
Green |
Green Brick Target Price Odds to finish below 63.11
The tendency of Green Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 63.11 after 90 days |
| 57.47 | 90 days | 63.11 | about 7.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Brick to stay under $ 63.11 after 90 days from now is about 7.22 (This Green Brick Partners probability density function shows the probability of Green Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Green Brick Partners price to stay between its current price of $ 57.47 and $ 63.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Green Brick has a beta of 0.56. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Green Brick average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Green Brick Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Green Brick Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Green Brick Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Green Brick
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Brick Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Green Brick Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Brick is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Brick's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Brick Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Brick within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Green Brick Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Brick for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Brick Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Green Brick Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Green Brick Partners has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: What Makes Green Brick Partners the Top Stock for Billionaire David Einhorn |
Green Brick Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Brick's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Brick's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 199.5 M |
Green Brick Technical Analysis
Green Brick's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Green Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Green Brick Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Green Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Green Brick Predictive Forecast Models
Green Brick's time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Brick's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Green Brick's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Green Brick Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Brick for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Brick Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Green Brick Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Green Brick Partners has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: What Makes Green Brick Partners the Top Stock for Billionaire David Einhorn |
Check out Green Brick Backtesting, Green Brick Valuation, Green Brick Correlation, Green Brick Hype Analysis, Green Brick Volatility, Green Brick History as well as Green Brick Performance. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.269 | Earnings Share 7.71 | Revenue Per Share 44.291 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.25 | Return On Assets 0.1344 |
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.