Grande Asset (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.26

GRAND Stock  THB 0.09  0.00  0.00%   
Grande Asset's future price is the expected price of Grande Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grande Asset Hotels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grande Asset Backtesting, Grande Asset Valuation, Grande Asset Correlation, Grande Asset Hype Analysis, Grande Asset Volatility, Grande Asset History as well as Grande Asset Performance.
  
Please specify Grande Asset's target price for which you would like Grande Asset odds to be computed.

Grande Asset Target Price Odds to finish over 7.26

The tendency of Grande Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  7.26  or more in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 7.26 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grande Asset to move over  7.26  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Grande Asset Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Grande Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grande Asset Hotels price to stay between its current price of  0.09  and  7.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grande Asset has a beta of 0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grande Asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grande Asset Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grande Asset Hotels has an alpha of 0.1855, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grande Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grande Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grande Asset Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grande Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.097.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.087.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.17.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.10.12
Details

Grande Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grande Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grande Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grande Asset Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grande Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Grande Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grande Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grande Asset Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grande Asset Hotels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Grande Asset Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grande Asset Hotels has accumulated 7.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.87, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Grande Asset Hotels has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grande Asset until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grande Asset's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grande Asset Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grande to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grande Asset's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 514.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (326.6 M).
Grande Asset Hotels has accumulated about 626.14 M in cash with (801.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of Grande Asset shares are held by company insiders

Grande Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grande Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grande Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grande Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.2 B

Grande Asset Technical Analysis

Grande Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grande Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grande Asset Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grande Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grande Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Grande Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grande Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grande Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grande Asset Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grande Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grande Asset Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grande Asset Hotels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Grande Asset Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grande Asset Hotels has accumulated 7.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.87, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Grande Asset Hotels has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grande Asset until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grande Asset's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grande Asset Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grande to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grande Asset's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 514.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (326.6 M).
Grande Asset Hotels has accumulated about 626.14 M in cash with (801.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of Grande Asset shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Grande Stock

Grande Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grande Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grande with respect to the benefits of owning Grande Asset security.