GPT Healthcare (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 130.46
| GPTHEALTH | 178.91 1.86 1.05% |
GPT |
GPT Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 130.46
The tendency of GPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 130.46 or more in 90 days |
| 178.91 | 90 days | 130.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GPT Healthcare to drop to 130.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GPT Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of GPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GPT Healthcare price to stay between 130.46 and its current price of 178.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GPT Healthcare has a beta of 0.7. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GPT Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GPT Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GPT Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GPT Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GPT Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GPT Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GPT Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GPT Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GPT Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GPT Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GPT Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GPT Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
GPT Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GPT Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GPT Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GPT Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GPT Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gainers Losers Stocks that moved the most on November 22 - Moneycontrol |
GPT Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GPT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GPT Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GPT Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190.3 M |
GPT Healthcare Technical Analysis
GPT Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GPT Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing GPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GPT Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
GPT Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many GPT Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GPT Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GPT Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about GPT Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GPT Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GPT Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GPT Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gainers Losers Stocks that moved the most on November 22 - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in GPT Stock
GPT Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether GPT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GPT with respect to the benefits of owning GPT Healthcare security.