Guidepath Growth And Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.86

GPIGX Fund  USD 13.44  0.05  0.37%   
Guidepath Growth's future price is the expected price of Guidepath Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guidepath Growth And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Guidepath Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guidepath Growth Correlation, Guidepath Growth Hype Analysis, Guidepath Growth Volatility, Guidepath Growth History as well as Guidepath Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Guidepath Growth's target price for which you would like Guidepath Growth odds to be computed.

Guidepath Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 12.86

The tendency of Guidepath Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.86  or more in 90 days
 13.44 90 days 12.86 
about 9.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidepath Growth to drop to $ 12.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.78 (This Guidepath Growth And probability density function shows the probability of Guidepath Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guidepath Growth And price to stay between $ 12.86  and its current price of $13.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath Growth has a beta of 0.0701. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidepath Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidepath Growth And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidepath Growth And has an alpha of 0.0787, implying that it can generate a 0.0787 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guidepath Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidepath Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidepath Growth And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8113.3913.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7713.3513.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6313.2113.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0513.3913.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidepath Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidepath Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidepath Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidepath Growth And.

Guidepath Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidepath Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidepath Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidepath Growth And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidepath Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.0087

Guidepath Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidepath Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidepath Growth And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 16.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Guidepath Growth Technical Analysis

Guidepath Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidepath Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidepath Growth And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidepath Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guidepath Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Guidepath Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidepath Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidepath Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guidepath Growth And

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidepath Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidepath Growth And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 16.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath Mutual Fund

Guidepath Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath Growth security.
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