Garudafood Putra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 396.51
| GOOD Stock | IDR 400.00 2.00 0.50% |
Garudafood |
Garudafood Putra Target Price Odds to finish below 396.51
The tendency of Garudafood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 396.51 or more in 90 days |
| 400.00 | 90 days | 396.51 | about 41.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Garudafood Putra to drop to 396.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.44 (This Garudafood Putra Putri probability density function shows the probability of Garudafood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Garudafood Putra Putri price to stay between 396.51 and its current price of 400.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Garudafood Putra Putri has a beta of -0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Garudafood Putra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Garudafood Putra Putri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Garudafood Putra Putri has an alpha of 0.1873, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Garudafood Putra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Garudafood Putra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garudafood Putra Putri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Garudafood Putra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Garudafood Putra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Garudafood Putra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Garudafood Putra Putri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Garudafood Putra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Garudafood Putra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Garudafood Putra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Garudafood Putra Putri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Garudafood Putra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Garudafood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Garudafood Putra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garudafood Putra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 904.3 B |
Garudafood Putra Technical Analysis
Garudafood Putra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Garudafood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Garudafood Putra Putri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Garudafood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Garudafood Putra Predictive Forecast Models
Garudafood Putra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Garudafood Putra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Garudafood Putra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Garudafood Putra Putri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Garudafood Putra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Garudafood Putra Putri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Garudafood Stock
Garudafood Putra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Garudafood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Garudafood with respect to the benefits of owning Garudafood Putra security.