GOLDEN GUINEA (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.09
| GOLDBREW | 8.64 0.76 9.64% |
GOLDEN |
GOLDEN GUINEA Target Price Odds to finish over 19.09
The tendency of GOLDEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 19.09 or more in 90 days |
| 8.64 | 90 days | 19.09 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GOLDEN GUINEA to move over 19.09 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES probability density function shows the probability of GOLDEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES price to stay between its current price of 8.64 and 19.09 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES has a beta of -0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GOLDEN GUINEA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES is likely to outperform the market. Moreover GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES has an alpha of 1.6515, implying that it can generate a 1.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GOLDEN GUINEA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GOLDEN GUINEA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GOLDEN GUINEA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GOLDEN GUINEA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GOLDEN GUINEA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES.GOLDEN GUINEA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GOLDEN GUINEA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GOLDEN GUINEA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GOLDEN GUINEA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.41 |
GOLDEN GUINEA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GOLDEN GUINEA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GOLDEN GUINEA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
GOLDEN GUINEA Technical Analysis
GOLDEN GUINEA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GOLDEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES. In general, you should focus on analyzing GOLDEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GOLDEN GUINEA Predictive Forecast Models
GOLDEN GUINEA's time-series forecasting models is one of many GOLDEN GUINEA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GOLDEN GUINEA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES
Checking the ongoing alerts about GOLDEN GUINEA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GOLDEN GUINEA BREWERIES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GOLDEN GUINEA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |