Canoo Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0333
| GOEVW Stock | USD 0.03 0.01 27.48% |
Canoo |
Canoo Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0333
The tendency of Canoo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 73.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canoo Holdings to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days from now is about 73.18 (This Canoo Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Canoo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canoo Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03 and $ 0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Canoo Holdings has a beta of -3.87. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Canoo Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Canoo Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Canoo Holdings has an alpha of 0.8048, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Canoo Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Canoo Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canoo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canoo Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canoo Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canoo Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canoo Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canoo Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canoo Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Canoo Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canoo Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canoo Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Canoo Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Canoo Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Canoo Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 886 K. Net Loss for the year was (302.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Canoo Holdings has accumulated about 148.84 M in cash with (251.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.71, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Canoo Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is It Worth Investing in Canoo Based on Wall Streets Bullish Views - Yahoo Finance |
Canoo Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canoo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canoo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canoo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M |
Canoo Holdings Technical Analysis
Canoo Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canoo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canoo Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canoo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Canoo Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Canoo Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Canoo Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canoo Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Canoo Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Canoo Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canoo Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Canoo Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Canoo Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Canoo Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 886 K. Net Loss for the year was (302.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Canoo Holdings has accumulated about 148.84 M in cash with (251.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.71, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Canoo Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is It Worth Investing in Canoo Based on Wall Streets Bullish Views - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Canoo Stock Analysis
When running Canoo Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Canoo Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canoo Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Canoo Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canoo Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canoo Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canoo Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.