Genasys Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| GNSS Stock | USD 3.02 0.14 4.43% |
Genasys |
Genasys Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Genasys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 3.02 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genasys to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Genasys probability density function shows the probability of Genasys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genasys price to stay between $ 0.04 and its current price of $3.02 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Genasys has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Genasys average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Genasys will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Genasys has an alpha of 0.1021, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Genasys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Genasys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genasys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genasys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Genasys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genasys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genasys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genasys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genasys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Genasys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genasys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genasys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genasys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genasys has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.34 M. | |
| Genasys currently holds about 16.99 M in cash with (9.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Genasys Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights A Mixed Bag of International Rebound and ... |
Genasys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genasys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genasys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genasys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.1 M |
Genasys Technical Analysis
Genasys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genasys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genasys. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genasys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Genasys Predictive Forecast Models
Genasys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Genasys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genasys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Genasys
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genasys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genasys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Genasys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Genasys has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.34 M. | |
| Genasys currently holds about 16.99 M in cash with (9.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Genasys Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights A Mixed Bag of International Rebound and ... |
Additional Tools for Genasys Stock Analysis
When running Genasys' price analysis, check to measure Genasys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genasys is operating at the current time. Most of Genasys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genasys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genasys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genasys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.