Global Medical Reit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.87

GMRE Stock  USD 7.87  0.07  0.90%   
Global Medical's future price is the expected price of Global Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Medical REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Medical Backtesting, Global Medical Valuation, Global Medical Correlation, Global Medical Hype Analysis, Global Medical Volatility, Global Medical History as well as Global Medical Performance.
  
At present, Global Medical's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 11.16, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (0.09). Please specify Global Medical's target price for which you would like Global Medical odds to be computed.

Global Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 7.87

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 7.87 90 days 7.87 
roughly 2.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Medical to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.99 (This Global Medical REIT probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Global Medical has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Medical REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Medical REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Medical REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.637.859.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.089.7010.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.257.488.70
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.1411.1412.37
Details

Global Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Medical REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Global Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Medical REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Medical REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Stifel Financial Corp Lowers Holdings in Global Medical REIT Inc.

Global Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.4 M

Global Medical Technical Analysis

Global Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Medical REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Global Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Medical REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Medical REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Medical REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Stifel Financial Corp Lowers Holdings in Global Medical REIT Inc.
When determining whether Global Medical REIT is a strong investment it is important to analyze Global Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Global Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Global Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Medical. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
2.082
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Global Medical REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.