Gabelli Global Mini Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.53
| GMNCX Fund | USD 12.37 0.01 0.08% |
Gabelli |
Gabelli Global Target Price Odds to finish below 12.53
The tendency of Gabelli Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.53 after 90 days |
| 12.37 | 90 days | 12.53 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Global to stay under $ 12.53 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gabelli Global Mini probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabelli Global Mini price to stay between its current price of $ 12.37 and $ 12.53 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually indicates Gabelli Global Mini market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gabelli Global is expected to follow. Additionally Gabelli Global Mini has an alpha of 0.0816, implying that it can generate a 0.0816 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gabelli Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gabelli Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Global Mini. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gabelli Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gabelli Global Mini, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Gabelli Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Global Mini can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 96.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Gabelli Global Technical Analysis
Gabelli Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gabelli Global Mini. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gabelli Global Predictive Forecast Models
Gabelli Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gabelli Global Mini
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Global Mini help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 96.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund
Gabelli Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Global security.
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