Guidestone Funds Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.58
| GMBZX Fund | 9.64 0.04 0.41% |
Guidestone |
Guidestone Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 9.58
The tendency of Guidestone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.58 or more in 90 days |
| 9.64 | 90 days | 9.58 | about 5.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidestone Funds to drop to 9.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.43 (This Guidestone Funds probability density function shows the probability of Guidestone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guidestone Funds price to stay between 9.58 and its current price of 9.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidestone Funds has a beta of 0.0283. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidestone Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidestone Funds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidestone Funds has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guidestone Funds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guidestone Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidestone Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guidestone Funds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidestone Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidestone Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidestone Funds , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidestone Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.46 |
Guidestone Funds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidestone Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidestone Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guidestone Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Guidestone Funds Technical Analysis
Guidestone Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidestone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidestone Funds . In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidestone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guidestone Funds Predictive Forecast Models
Guidestone Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidestone Funds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidestone Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guidestone Funds
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidestone Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidestone Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guidestone Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Guidestone Mutual Fund
Guidestone Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidestone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidestone with respect to the benefits of owning Guidestone Funds security.
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