Global Partners Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.23

GLP Stock  USD 53.37  1.71  3.10%   
Global Partners' future price is the expected price of Global Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Partners LP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Partners Backtesting, Global Partners Valuation, Global Partners Correlation, Global Partners Hype Analysis, Global Partners Volatility, Global Partners History as well as Global Partners Performance.
  
At this time, Global Partners' Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/14/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.89, while Price Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.05. Please specify Global Partners' target price for which you would like Global Partners odds to be computed.

Global Partners Target Price Odds to finish over 49.23

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 49.23  in 90 days
 53.37 90 days 49.23 
about 42.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Partners to stay above $ 49.23  in 90 days from now is about 42.34 (This Global Partners LP probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Partners LP price to stay between $ 49.23  and its current price of $53.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Global Partners has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Partners LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Partners LP has an alpha of 0.2917, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Partners LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.5654.4556.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.0650.9560.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.5352.4254.31
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.4040.0044.40
Details

Global Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Partners LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Global Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Partners LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 14th of November 2024 Global Partners paid $ 0.73 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Global Partners Reaches New 52-Week High Time to Buy

Global Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.6 M

Global Partners Technical Analysis

Global Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Partners LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Global Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Partners LP

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Partners LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 14th of November 2024 Global Partners paid $ 0.73 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Global Partners Reaches New 52-Week High Time to Buy

Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis

When running Global Partners' price analysis, check to measure Global Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Global Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.