The Gabelli Multimedia Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 25.41

GGT-PG Preferred Stock  USD 22.85  0.02  0.09%   
Gabelli Multimedia's future price is the expected price of Gabelli Multimedia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Gabelli Multimedia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gabelli Multimedia Backtesting, Gabelli Multimedia Valuation, Gabelli Multimedia Correlation, Gabelli Multimedia Hype Analysis, Gabelli Multimedia Volatility, Gabelli Multimedia History as well as Gabelli Multimedia Performance.
  
Please specify Gabelli Multimedia's target price for which you would like Gabelli Multimedia odds to be computed.

Gabelli Multimedia Target Price Odds to finish over 25.41

The tendency of Gabelli Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.41  or more in 90 days
 22.85 90 days 25.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Multimedia to move over $ 25.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Gabelli Multimedia probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of The Gabelli Multimedia price to stay between its current price of $ 22.85  and $ 25.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gabelli Multimedia has a beta of 0.0637. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Multimedia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Gabelli Multimedia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Gabelli Multimedia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gabelli Multimedia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gabelli Multimedia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Gabelli Multimedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7322.8523.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.9923.1124.23
Details

Gabelli Multimedia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Multimedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Multimedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Gabelli Multimedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Multimedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Gabelli Multimedia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Multimedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Gabelli Multimedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gabelli Multimedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gabelli Multimedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gabelli Multimedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gabelli Multimedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like The Gabelli Multimedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gabelli to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gabelli Multimedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Gabelli Multimedia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gabelli Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gabelli Multimedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gabelli Multimedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.4 M

Gabelli Multimedia Technical Analysis

Gabelli Multimedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Gabelli Multimedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gabelli Multimedia Predictive Forecast Models

Gabelli Multimedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Multimedia's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Multimedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about The Gabelli Multimedia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Multimedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The Gabelli Multimedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gabelli Multimedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gabelli Multimedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gabelli Multimedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gabelli Multimedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like The Gabelli Multimedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gabelli to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gabelli Multimedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Preferred Stock

Gabelli Multimedia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Multimedia security.