Gentera SAB (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.63
| GENTERA Stock | MXN 26.38 0.15 0.57% |
Gentera |
Gentera SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 23.63
The tendency of Gentera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.63 or more in 90 days |
| 26.38 | 90 days | 23.63 | about 41.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gentera SAB to drop to 23.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.6 (This Gentera SAB de probability density function shows the probability of Gentera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gentera SAB de price to stay between 23.63 and its current price of 26.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gentera SAB has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gentera SAB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gentera SAB de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gentera SAB de has an alpha of 0.3586, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gentera SAB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gentera SAB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gentera SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentera SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gentera SAB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gentera SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gentera SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gentera SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gentera SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gentera SAB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gentera SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gentera SAB de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gentera SAB de has accumulated about 11.57 B in cash with (7.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.29. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gentera SAB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gentera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gentera SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentera SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Gentera SAB Technical Analysis
Gentera SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gentera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gentera SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gentera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gentera SAB Predictive Forecast Models
Gentera SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gentera SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gentera SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gentera SAB de
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gentera SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gentera SAB de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gentera SAB de has accumulated about 11.57 B in cash with (7.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.29. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Gentera Stock
Gentera SAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gentera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gentera with respect to the benefits of owning Gentera SAB security.