Gear Energy Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0

GENGFDelisted Stock  USD 0.33  0.00  0.00%   
Gear Energy's future price is the expected price of Gear Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gear Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Gear Energy's target price for which you would like Gear Energy odds to be computed.

Gear Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of Gear Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.33 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gear Energy to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gear Energy probability density function shows the probability of Gear Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gear Energy price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $0.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gear Energy has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gear Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gear Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gear Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gear Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gear Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gear Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.333.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.293.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.323.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.330.350.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gear Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gear Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gear Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gear Energy.

Gear Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gear Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gear Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gear Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gear Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Gear Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gear Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gear Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gear Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gear Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gear Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Gear Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gear Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gear Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gear Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding260.2 M

Gear Energy Technical Analysis

Gear Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gear Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gear Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gear Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gear Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Gear Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gear Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gear Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gear Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gear Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gear Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gear Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gear Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gear Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Other Consideration for investing in Gear Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Gear Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gear Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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