Genesis Energy Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.33
| GEL Stock | USD 11.03 0.25 2.32% |
Closest to current price Genesis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Genesis |
Genesis Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 13.33
The tendency of Genesis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.33 or more in 90 days |
| 11.03 | 90 days | 13.33 | about 12.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genesis Energy to move over $ 13.33 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.17 (This Genesis Energy LP probability density function shows the probability of Genesis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genesis Energy LP price to stay between its current price of $ 11.03 and $ 13.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Genesis Energy has a beta of 0.83. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Genesis Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Genesis Energy LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Genesis Energy LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Genesis Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Genesis Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genesis Energy LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genesis Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Genesis Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genesis Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genesis Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genesis Energy LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genesis Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Genesis Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genesis Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genesis Energy LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genesis Energy LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Genesis Energy paid $ 0.165 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Genesis Energy, L.P. Announces Tender Offer for up to 385 Million Aggregate Principal Amount of Its 8.0 percent Senior Notes Due 2027 |
Genesis Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genesis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genesis Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genesis Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
Genesis Energy Technical Analysis
Genesis Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genesis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genesis Energy LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genesis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Genesis Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Genesis Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Genesis Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genesis Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Genesis Energy LP
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genesis Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genesis Energy LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Genesis Energy LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Genesis Energy paid $ 0.165 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Genesis Energy, L.P. Announces Tender Offer for up to 385 Million Aggregate Principal Amount of Its 8.0 percent Senior Notes Due 2027 |
Check out Genesis Energy Backtesting, Genesis Energy Valuation, Genesis Energy Correlation, Genesis Energy Hype Analysis, Genesis Energy Volatility, Genesis Energy History as well as Genesis Energy Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genesis Energy. If investors know Genesis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genesis Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.586 | Dividend Share 0.615 | Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share 24.612 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Genesis Energy LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genesis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genesis Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genesis Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genesis Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genesis Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genesis Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genesis Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genesis Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.