Guidestone Growth Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.10

GEIZX Fund   16.87  0.10  0.59%   
Guidestone Growth's future price is the expected price of Guidestone Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guidestone Growth Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Guidestone Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guidestone Growth Correlation, Guidestone Growth Hype Analysis, Guidestone Growth Volatility, Guidestone Growth History as well as Guidestone Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Guidestone Growth's target price for which you would like Guidestone Growth odds to be computed.

Guidestone Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 16.10

The tendency of Guidestone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  16.10  or more in 90 days
 16.87 90 days 16.10 
about 34.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidestone Growth to drop to  16.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.7 (This Guidestone Growth Equity probability density function shows the probability of Guidestone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guidestone Growth Equity price to stay between  16.10  and its current price of 16.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidestone Growth has a beta of 0.69. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidestone Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidestone Growth Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidestone Growth Equity has an alpha of 0.067, implying that it can generate a 0.067 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guidestone Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidestone Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidestone Growth Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8616.8717.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1017.1118.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidestone Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidestone Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidestone Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidestone Growth Equity.

Guidestone Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidestone Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidestone Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidestone Growth Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidestone Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Guidestone Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidestone Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidestone Growth Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Guidestone Growth Technical Analysis

Guidestone Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidestone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidestone Growth Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidestone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guidestone Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Guidestone Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidestone Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidestone Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guidestone Growth Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidestone Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidestone Growth Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Guidestone Mutual Fund

Guidestone Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidestone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidestone with respect to the benefits of owning Guidestone Growth security.
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA