Gravitas Education Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.01

GEHIDelisted Stock  USD 13.09  0.00  0.00%   
Gravitas Education's future price is the expected price of Gravitas Education instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gravitas Education Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
Please specify Gravitas Education's target price for which you would like Gravitas Education odds to be computed.

Gravitas Education Target Price Odds to finish below 15.01

The tendency of Gravitas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 15.01  after 90 days
 13.09 90 days 15.01 
about 59.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gravitas Education to stay under $ 15.01  after 90 days from now is about 59.65 (This Gravitas Education Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Gravitas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gravitas Education price to stay between its current price of $ 13.09  and $ 15.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gravitas Education has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gravitas Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gravitas Education Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gravitas Education Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gravitas Education Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gravitas Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gravitas Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0913.0913.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9311.9314.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3312.3312.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1713.9615.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gravitas Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gravitas Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gravitas Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gravitas Education.

Gravitas Education Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gravitas Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gravitas Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gravitas Education Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gravitas Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Gravitas Education Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gravitas Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gravitas Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gravitas Education is now traded under the symbol MYND. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Gravitas Education is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gravitas Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Gravitas Education Holdings currently holds 17.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gravitas Education has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gravitas Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 50.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.17 M.

Gravitas Education Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gravitas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gravitas Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gravitas Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.2 M

Gravitas Education Technical Analysis

Gravitas Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gravitas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gravitas Education Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gravitas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gravitas Education Predictive Forecast Models

Gravitas Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gravitas Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gravitas Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gravitas Education

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gravitas Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gravitas Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gravitas Education is now traded under the symbol MYND. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Gravitas Education is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gravitas Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Gravitas Education Holdings currently holds 17.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gravitas Education has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gravitas Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 50.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.17 M.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Gravitas Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Gravitas Education check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gravitas Education's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets