Revelyst, Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.47
| GEARDelisted Stock | USD 20.08 0.82 4.26% |
Revelyst, |
Revelyst, Target Price Odds to finish below 22.47
The tendency of Revelyst, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.47 after 90 days |
| 20.08 | 90 days | 22.47 | about 16.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Revelyst, to stay under $ 22.47 after 90 days from now is about 16.17 (This Revelyst, probability density function shows the probability of Revelyst, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Revelyst, price to stay between its current price of $ 20.08 and $ 22.47 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Revelyst, has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Revelyst, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Revelyst, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Revelyst, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Revelyst, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Revelyst,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Revelyst,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Revelyst, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Revelyst, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Revelyst,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Revelyst,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Revelyst, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Revelyst, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Revelyst, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Revelyst, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Revelyst, is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Revelyst, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Revelyst, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Revelyst, has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Revelyst, has accumulated $5.71 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Revelyst, currently holds 5.71 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 74.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Revelyst, has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Revelyst,'s use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (193.99 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Revelyst, currently holds about 201.8 K in cash with (54.9 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Revelyst gains on NYSE delist notice for sale to Strategic Value Partners |
Revelyst, Technical Analysis
Revelyst,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Revelyst, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Revelyst,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Revelyst, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Revelyst, Predictive Forecast Models
Revelyst,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Revelyst,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Revelyst,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Revelyst,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Revelyst, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Revelyst, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Revelyst, is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Revelyst, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Revelyst, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Revelyst, has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Revelyst, has accumulated $5.71 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Revelyst, currently holds 5.71 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 74.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Revelyst, has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Revelyst,'s use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (193.99 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Revelyst, currently holds about 201.8 K in cash with (54.9 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Revelyst gains on NYSE delist notice for sale to Strategic Value Partners |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in Revelyst, Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Revelyst, check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Revelyst,'s history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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