Gabelli Dividend Income Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 18.08
| GDV Fund | USD 24.98 0.04 0.16% |
Gabelli |
Gabelli Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 18.08
The tendency of Gabelli Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.08 or more in 90 days |
| 24.98 | 90 days | 18.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Dividend to drop to $ 18.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gabelli Dividend Income probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabelli Dividend Income price to stay between $ 18.08 and its current price of $24.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Gabelli Dividend has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Dividend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gabelli Dividend Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gabelli Dividend Income has an alpha of 0.0494, implying that it can generate a 0.0494 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gabelli Dividend Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gabelli Dividend
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Dividend Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Dividend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gabelli Dividend Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gabelli Dividend Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Gabelli Dividend Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Dividend Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gabelli Dividend Income Trust Increases Annual Distribution 27 percent to 1.68 From 1.32 and Monthly Distribution Rate to 0.14 From 0.11 - The Manila Times |
Gabelli Dividend Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gabelli Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gabelli Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gabelli Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Gabelli Dividend Technical Analysis
Gabelli Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gabelli Dividend Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gabelli Dividend Predictive Forecast Models
Gabelli Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Dividend's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gabelli Dividend Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Dividend Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gabelli Dividend Income Trust Increases Annual Distribution 27 percent to 1.68 From 1.32 and Monthly Distribution Rate to 0.14 From 0.11 - The Manila Times |
Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Fund
Gabelli Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Dividend security.
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