Good Natured Products Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.004789
| GDNPFDelisted Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Good |
Good Natured Target Price Odds to finish over 0.004789
The tendency of Good Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0 in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0 | about 58.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Good Natured to stay above $ 0 in 90 days from now is about 58.37 (This Good Natured Products probability density function shows the probability of Good Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Good Natured Products price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0054 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Good Natured has a beta of 0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Good Natured average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Good Natured Products will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Good Natured Products has an alpha of 1.6918, implying that it can generate a 1.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Good Natured Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Good Natured
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Good Natured Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Good Natured Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Good Natured is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Good Natured's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Good Natured Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Good Natured within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0008 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Good Natured Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Good Natured for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Good Natured Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Good Natured is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Good Natured is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Good Natured has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Good Natured appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Good Natured has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Good Natured Products has accumulated 43.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Good Natured Products has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Good Natured until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Good Natured's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Good Natured Products sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Good to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Good Natured's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 61.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.24 M. | |
| Good Natured Products has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (13.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of Good Natured shares are held by company insiders |
Good Natured Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Good Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Good Natured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Good Natured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.7 M |
Good Natured Technical Analysis
Good Natured's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Good Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Good Natured Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Good Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Good Natured Predictive Forecast Models
Good Natured's time-series forecasting models is one of many Good Natured's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Good Natured's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Good Natured Products
Checking the ongoing alerts about Good Natured for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Good Natured Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Good Natured is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Good Natured is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Good Natured has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Good Natured appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Good Natured has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Good Natured Products has accumulated 43.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Good Natured Products has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Good Natured until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Good Natured's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Good Natured Products sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Good to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Good Natured's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 61.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.24 M. | |
| Good Natured Products has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (13.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of Good Natured shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Other Consideration for investing in Good Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Good Natured Products check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Good Natured's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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