Garda Diversified (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.21
| GDF Stock | 1.21 0.01 0.82% |
Garda |
Garda Diversified Target Price Odds to finish below 1.21
The tendency of Garda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1.21 | 90 days | 1.21 | about 74.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Garda Diversified to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 74.26 (This Garda Diversified Ppty probability density function shows the probability of Garda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Garda Diversified Ppty has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Garda Diversified are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Garda Diversified Ppty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Garda Diversified Ppty has an alpha of 0.0292, implying that it can generate a 0.0292 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Garda Diversified Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Garda Diversified
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garda Diversified Ppty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Garda Diversified Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Garda Diversified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Garda Diversified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Garda Diversified Ppty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Garda Diversified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Garda Diversified Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Garda Diversified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Garda Diversified Ppty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Garda Diversified may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Garda Diversified has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.84 M. | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Garda Diversified Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Garda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Garda Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garda Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17 M |
Garda Diversified Technical Analysis
Garda Diversified's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Garda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Garda Diversified Ppty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Garda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Garda Diversified Predictive Forecast Models
Garda Diversified's time-series forecasting models is one of many Garda Diversified's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Garda Diversified's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Garda Diversified Ppty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Garda Diversified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Garda Diversified Ppty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Garda Diversified may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Garda Diversified has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.84 M. | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Garda Stock Analysis
When running Garda Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Garda Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Garda Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Garda Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Garda Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Garda Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Garda Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.