Nexters Warrant Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.12
| GDEVW Stock | USD 0.02 0 7.78% |
Nexters |
Nexters Warrant Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12
The tendency of Nexters Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.12 after 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nexters Warrant to stay under $ 0.12 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nexters Warrant probability density function shows the probability of Nexters Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nexters Warrant price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02 and $ 0.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nexters Warrant has a beta of -6.69. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Nexters Warrant are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Nexters Warrant is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Nexters Warrant has an alpha of 0.5325, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nexters Warrant Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nexters Warrant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexters Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexters Warrant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nexters Warrant Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nexters Warrant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nexters Warrant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nexters Warrant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nexters Warrant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -6.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Nexters Warrant Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nexters Warrant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nexters Warrant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nexters Warrant is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nexters Warrant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nexters Warrant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nexters Warrant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Nexters Warrant Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nexters Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nexters Warrant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexters Warrant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156 M |
Nexters Warrant Technical Analysis
Nexters Warrant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nexters Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nexters Warrant. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nexters Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nexters Warrant Predictive Forecast Models
Nexters Warrant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nexters Warrant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nexters Warrant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nexters Warrant
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nexters Warrant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nexters Warrant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nexters Warrant is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nexters Warrant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nexters Warrant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nexters Warrant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for Nexters Stock Analysis
When running Nexters Warrant's price analysis, check to measure Nexters Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexters Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of Nexters Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexters Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexters Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexters Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.