Corporativo GBM (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.82
| GBMO Stock | MXN 9.60 0.12 1.23% |
Corporativo |
Corporativo GBM Target Price Odds to finish below 8.82
The tendency of Corporativo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.82 or more in 90 days |
| 9.60 | 90 days | 8.82 | about 1.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporativo GBM to drop to 8.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.49 (This Corporativo GBM SAB probability density function shows the probability of Corporativo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporativo GBM SAB price to stay between 8.82 and its current price of 9.6 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporativo GBM SAB has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Corporativo GBM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Corporativo GBM SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Corporativo GBM SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Corporativo GBM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Corporativo GBM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporativo GBM SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Corporativo GBM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporativo GBM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporativo GBM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporativo GBM SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporativo GBM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Corporativo GBM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporativo GBM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporativo GBM SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Corporativo GBM SAB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Corporativo GBM SAB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Corporativo GBM SAB has accumulated 8.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.53, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Corporativo GBM SAB has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Corporativo GBM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Corporativo GBM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Corporativo GBM SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Corporativo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Corporativo GBM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Corporativo GBM Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corporativo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corporativo GBM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corporativo GBM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.3 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.17 |
Corporativo GBM Technical Analysis
Corporativo GBM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporativo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporativo GBM SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporativo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Corporativo GBM Predictive Forecast Models
Corporativo GBM's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporativo GBM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporativo GBM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Corporativo GBM SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporativo GBM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporativo GBM SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Corporativo GBM SAB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Corporativo GBM SAB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Corporativo GBM SAB has accumulated 8.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.53, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Corporativo GBM SAB has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Corporativo GBM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Corporativo GBM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Corporativo GBM SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Corporativo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Corporativo GBM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Corporativo Stock Analysis
When running Corporativo GBM's price analysis, check to measure Corporativo GBM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corporativo GBM is operating at the current time. Most of Corporativo GBM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corporativo GBM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corporativo GBM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corporativo GBM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.