Gatos Silver Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.87

GATO Stock  CAD 20.34  0.23  1.14%   
Gatos Silver's future price is the expected price of Gatos Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gatos Silver performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gatos Silver Backtesting, Gatos Silver Valuation, Gatos Silver Correlation, Gatos Silver Hype Analysis, Gatos Silver Volatility, Gatos Silver History as well as Gatos Silver Performance.
To learn how to invest in Gatos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gatos Silver guide.
  
As of the 25th of December 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 36.93, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.72. Please specify Gatos Silver's target price for which you would like Gatos Silver odds to be computed.

Gatos Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 8.87

The tendency of Gatos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 8.87  or more in 90 days
 20.34 90 days 8.87 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gatos Silver to drop to C$ 8.87  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gatos Silver probability density function shows the probability of Gatos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gatos Silver price to stay between C$ 8.87  and its current price of C$20.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gatos Silver has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gatos Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gatos Silver will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gatos Silver has an alpha of 0.0171, implying that it can generate a 0.0171 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gatos Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gatos Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gatos Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4220.2824.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6018.4622.32
Details

Gatos Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gatos Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gatos Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gatos Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gatos Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio 0

Gatos Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gatos Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gatos Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gatos Silver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gatos Silver has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Gatos Silver has accumulated about 12.4 M in cash with (12.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gatos Silver Enhances Management with Dowa Agreement - TipRanks

Gatos Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gatos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gatos Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gatos Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments55.5 M

Gatos Silver Technical Analysis

Gatos Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gatos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gatos Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gatos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gatos Silver Predictive Forecast Models

Gatos Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gatos Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gatos Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gatos Silver

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gatos Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gatos Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gatos Silver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gatos Silver has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Gatos Silver has accumulated about 12.4 M in cash with (12.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gatos Silver Enhances Management with Dowa Agreement - TipRanks
When determining whether Gatos Silver offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gatos Silver's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gatos Silver Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gatos Silver Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gatos Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gatos Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gatos Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.