GACM Technologies (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.24
| GATECHDVR | 0.95 0.04 4.40% |
GACM |
GACM Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 1.24
The tendency of GACM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.24 after 90 days |
| 0.95 | 90 days | 1.24 | about 59.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GACM Technologies to stay under 1.24 after 90 days from now is about 59.53 (This GACM Technologies Limited probability density function shows the probability of GACM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GACM Technologies price to stay between its current price of 0.95 and 1.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GACM Technologies has a beta of 0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GACM Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GACM Technologies Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GACM Technologies Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GACM Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GACM Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GACM Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GACM Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GACM Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GACM Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GACM Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GACM Technologies Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GACM Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
GACM Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GACM Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GACM Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GACM Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GACM Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GACM Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GACM Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 103.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hyderabad CCS files four cases against GACM, its MD for stock fraud - MSN |
GACM Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GACM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GACM Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GACM Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287.1 M |
GACM Technologies Technical Analysis
GACM Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GACM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GACM Technologies Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing GACM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GACM Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
GACM Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many GACM Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GACM Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GACM Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about GACM Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GACM Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GACM Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GACM Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GACM Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GACM Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 103.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hyderabad CCS files four cases against GACM, its MD for stock fraud - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in GACM Stock
GACM Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether GACM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GACM with respect to the benefits of owning GACM Technologies security.