The Gabelli Dividend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.81

GABBX Fund  USD 19.62  0.13  0.66%   
Gabelli Dividend's future price is the expected price of Gabelli Dividend instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Gabelli Dividend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gabelli Dividend Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gabelli Dividend Correlation, Gabelli Dividend Hype Analysis, Gabelli Dividend Volatility, Gabelli Dividend History as well as Gabelli Dividend Performance.
  
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Gabelli Dividend Target Price Odds to finish over 18.81

The tendency of Gabelli Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 18.81  in 90 days
 19.62 90 days 18.81 
about 83.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Dividend to stay above $ 18.81  in 90 days from now is about 83.61 (This The Gabelli Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabelli Dividend price to stay between $ 18.81  and its current price of $19.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gabelli Dividend has a beta of 0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Dividend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Gabelli Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Gabelli Dividend has an alpha of 0.0166, implying that it can generate a 0.0166 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gabelli Dividend Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gabelli Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9319.6220.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8819.5720.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.5719.2619.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0619.6920.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gabelli Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gabelli Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gabelli Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gabelli Dividend.

Gabelli Dividend Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Gabelli Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0

Gabelli Dividend Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gabelli Dividend Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gabelli Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gabelli Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gabelli Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Gabelli Dividend Technical Analysis

Gabelli Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Gabelli Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gabelli Dividend Predictive Forecast Models

Gabelli Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Dividend's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gabelli Dividend

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Dividend security.
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