Great Portland (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.95
| G9KB Stock | EUR 3.56 0.10 2.73% |
Great |
Great Portland Target Price Odds to finish below 3.95
The tendency of Great Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 3.95 after 90 days |
| 3.56 | 90 days | 3.95 | about 70.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Portland to stay under € 3.95 after 90 days from now is about 70.91 (This Great Portland Estates probability density function shows the probability of Great Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Portland Estates price to stay between its current price of € 3.56 and € 3.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Great Portland has a beta of 0.55. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Great Portland average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great Portland Estates will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great Portland Estates has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Great Portland Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great Portland
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Portland Estates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great Portland Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Portland is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Portland's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Portland Estates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Portland within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Great Portland Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Portland for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Portland Estates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great Portland generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Great Portland Estates has accumulated 531 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Great Portland Estates has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Great Portland until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Great Portland's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Great Portland Estates sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Great to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Great Portland's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 82.0% of Great Portland shares are owned by institutional investors |
Great Portland Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Portland's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Portland's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 253.9 M |
Great Portland Technical Analysis
Great Portland's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Portland Estates. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great Portland Predictive Forecast Models
Great Portland's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Portland's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Portland's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great Portland Estates
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Portland for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Portland Estates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great Portland generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Great Portland Estates has accumulated 531 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Great Portland Estates has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Great Portland until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Great Portland's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Great Portland Estates sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Great to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Great Portland's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 82.0% of Great Portland shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Great Stock
Great Portland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great Portland security.