Guidewire Software, (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.28
| G2WR34 Stock | 87.29 1.04 1.21% |
Guidewire |
Guidewire Software, Target Price Odds to finish below 80.28
The tendency of Guidewire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 80.28 or more in 90 days |
| 87.29 | 90 days | 80.28 | roughly 2.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidewire Software, to drop to 80.28 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.57 (This Guidewire Software, probability density function shows the probability of Guidewire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guidewire Software, price to stay between 80.28 and its current price of 87.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guidewire Software, has a beta of 0.039. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidewire Software, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidewire Software, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidewire Software, has an alpha of 0.084, implying that it can generate a 0.084 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guidewire Software, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guidewire Software,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidewire Software,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidewire Software,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidewire Software,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidewire Software,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidewire Software,.Guidewire Software, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidewire Software, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidewire Software,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidewire Software,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidewire Software, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Guidewire Software, Technical Analysis
Guidewire Software,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidewire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidewire Software,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidewire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guidewire Software, Predictive Forecast Models
Guidewire Software,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidewire Software,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidewire Software,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Guidewire Software, in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Guidewire Software,'s short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Guidewire Software, options trading.