Forward Pharma AS Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.00
| FWPAYDelisted Stock | 3.00 0.00 0.00% |
Forward |
Forward Pharma Target Price Odds to finish over 3.00
The tendency of Forward Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.00 | 90 days | 3.00 | about 19.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forward Pharma to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.48 (This Forward Pharma AS probability density function shows the probability of Forward Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Forward Pharma AS has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Forward Pharma are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Forward Pharma AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Forward Pharma AS has an alpha of 0.2632, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Forward Pharma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Forward Pharma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forward Pharma AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Forward Pharma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forward Pharma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forward Pharma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forward Pharma AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forward Pharma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Forward Pharma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forward Pharma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forward Pharma AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forward Pharma AS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Forward Pharma AS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Forward Pharma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forward Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forward Pharma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forward Pharma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.3 M |
Forward Pharma Technical Analysis
Forward Pharma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forward Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forward Pharma AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forward Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Forward Pharma Predictive Forecast Models
Forward Pharma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forward Pharma's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forward Pharma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Forward Pharma AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forward Pharma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forward Pharma AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Forward Pharma AS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Forward Pharma AS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Forward Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Forward Pharma AS check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Forward Pharma's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation |