Sprott Focus Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.64
| FUND Stock | USD 7.27 0.00 0.00% |
Sprott |
Sprott Focus Target Price Odds to finish over 9.64
The tendency of Sprott Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.64 or more in 90 days |
| 7.27 | 90 days | 9.64 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sprott Focus to move over $ 9.64 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sprott Focus Trust probability density function shows the probability of Sprott Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sprott Focus Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 7.27 and $ 9.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sprott Focus has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Sprott Focus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sprott Focus Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sprott Focus Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sprott Focus Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sprott Focus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Focus Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprott Focus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sprott Focus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sprott Focus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sprott Focus Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sprott Focus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Sprott Focus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sprott Focus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sprott Focus Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sprott Focus Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by George W Whitney of 20000 shares of Sprott Focus at 8.222 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Sprott Focus Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sprott Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sprott Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprott Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.1 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.6 |
Sprott Focus Technical Analysis
Sprott Focus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sprott Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sprott Focus Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sprott Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sprott Focus Predictive Forecast Models
Sprott Focus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sprott Focus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sprott Focus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sprott Focus Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sprott Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sprott Focus Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sprott Focus Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by George W Whitney of 20000 shares of Sprott Focus at 8.222 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Sprott Focus Backtesting, Sprott Focus Valuation, Sprott Focus Correlation, Sprott Focus Hype Analysis, Sprott Focus Volatility, Sprott Focus History as well as Sprott Focus Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprott Focus. If investors know Sprott will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprott Focus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.366 | Dividend Share 0.498 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share 0.281 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.30) |
The market value of Sprott Focus Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprott that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprott Focus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprott Focus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprott Focus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprott Focus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Focus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprott Focus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.