FUJITSU (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.41

FUJA Stock  EUR 17.60  0.30  1.73%   
FUJITSU's future price is the expected price of FUJITSU instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FUJITSU LTD ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FUJITSU Backtesting, FUJITSU Valuation, FUJITSU Correlation, FUJITSU Hype Analysis, FUJITSU Volatility, FUJITSU History as well as FUJITSU Performance.
  
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FUJITSU Target Price Odds to finish below 18.41

The tendency of FUJITSU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 18.41  after 90 days
 17.60 90 days 18.41 
about 80.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FUJITSU to stay under € 18.41  after 90 days from now is about 80.78 (This FUJITSU LTD ADR probability density function shows the probability of FUJITSU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FUJITSU LTD ADR price to stay between its current price of € 17.60  and € 18.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FUJITSU has a beta of 0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FUJITSU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FUJITSU LTD ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FUJITSU LTD ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FUJITSU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FUJITSU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FUJITSU LTD ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3317.3019.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4317.4019.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.5116.4818.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8317.3618.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FUJITSU. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FUJITSU's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FUJITSU's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FUJITSU LTD ADR.

FUJITSU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FUJITSU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FUJITSU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FUJITSU LTD ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FUJITSU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

FUJITSU Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FUJITSU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FUJITSU LTD ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FUJITSU LTD ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FUJITSU Technical Analysis

FUJITSU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FUJITSU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FUJITSU LTD ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing FUJITSU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FUJITSU Predictive Forecast Models

FUJITSU's time-series forecasting models is one of many FUJITSU's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FUJITSU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FUJITSU LTD ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about FUJITSU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FUJITSU LTD ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FUJITSU LTD ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FUJITSU Stock

FUJITSU financial ratios help investors to determine whether FUJITSU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FUJITSU with respect to the benefits of owning FUJITSU security.