First Trust Senior Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 44.71
| FTSL Etf | USD 46.24 0.03 0.06% |
First |
First Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 44.71
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 44.71 or more in 90 days |
| 46.24 | 90 days | 44.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to drop to $ 44.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Trust Senior probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Trust Senior price to stay between $ 44.71 and its current price of $46.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.008. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Senior will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Senior has an alpha of 0.0289, implying that it can generate a 0.0289 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Trust Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Senior. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Senior, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
First Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Senior can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: First Trust Senior Loan Fund ETF declares 0.275 dividend | |
| The fund retains about 10.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
First Trust Technical Analysis
First Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Trust Senior. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.