Fortis Pref M Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 21.19

FTS-PM Preferred Stock  CAD 20.70  0.06  0.29%   
Fortis Pref's future price is the expected price of Fortis Pref instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortis Pref M performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fortis Pref Backtesting, Fortis Pref Valuation, Fortis Pref Correlation, Fortis Pref Hype Analysis, Fortis Pref Volatility, Fortis Pref History as well as Fortis Pref Performance.
  
Please specify Fortis Pref's target price for which you would like Fortis Pref odds to be computed.

Fortis Pref Target Price Odds to finish over 21.19

The tendency of Fortis Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 21.19  or more in 90 days
 20.70 90 days 21.19 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortis Pref to move over C$ 21.19  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fortis Pref M probability density function shows the probability of Fortis Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortis Pref M price to stay between its current price of C$ 20.70  and C$ 21.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fortis Pref has a beta of 0.0055. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fortis Pref average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fortis Pref M will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fortis Pref M has an alpha of 0.0108, implying that it can generate a 0.0108 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fortis Pref Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortis Pref

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortis Pref M. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1220.6421.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0020.5221.04
Details

Fortis Pref Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortis Pref is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortis Pref's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortis Pref M, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortis Pref within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Fortis Pref Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortis Pref for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortis Pref M can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortis Pref M has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fortis Pref M has accumulated 2.42 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 125.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fortis Pref M has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fortis Pref until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis Pref's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis Pref M sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis Pref's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Fortis Pref Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortis Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortis Pref's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortis Pref's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding490.6 M
Dividends Paid764 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.98

Fortis Pref Technical Analysis

Fortis Pref's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortis Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortis Pref M. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortis Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortis Pref Predictive Forecast Models

Fortis Pref's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortis Pref's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortis Pref's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortis Pref M

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortis Pref for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortis Pref M help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortis Pref M has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fortis Pref M has accumulated 2.42 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 125.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fortis Pref M has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fortis Pref until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis Pref's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis Pref M sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis Pref's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fortis Preferred Stock

Fortis Pref financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortis Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortis with respect to the benefits of owning Fortis Pref security.