Fortis 1st Cum Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 20.79

FTS-PF Preferred Stock  CAD 21.00  0.02  0.1%   
Fortis 1St's future price is the expected price of Fortis 1St instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortis 1St Cum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fortis 1St Backtesting, Fortis 1St Valuation, Fortis 1St Correlation, Fortis 1St Hype Analysis, Fortis 1St Volatility, Fortis 1St History as well as Fortis 1St Performance.
  
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Fortis 1St Target Price Odds to finish over 20.79

The tendency of Fortis Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above C$ 20.79  in 90 days
 21.00 90 days 20.79 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortis 1St to stay above C$ 20.79  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Fortis 1St Cum probability density function shows the probability of Fortis Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortis 1St Cum price to stay between C$ 20.79  and its current price of C$21.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fortis 1St Cum has a beta of -0.0289. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fortis 1St are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fortis 1St Cum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fortis 1St Cum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fortis 1St Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortis 1St

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortis 1St Cum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4221.0021.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4317.0123.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7521.3221.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6921.1221.56
Details

Fortis 1St Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortis 1St is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortis 1St's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortis 1St Cum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortis 1St within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Fortis 1St Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortis 1St for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortis 1St Cum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortis 1St Cum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fortis 1St Cum has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fortis 1St Cum has accumulated 25.93 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 125.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fortis 1St Cum has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fortis 1St until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis 1St's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis 1St Cum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis 1St's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Fortis 1St Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortis Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortis 1St's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortis 1St's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding482.2 M
Dividends Paid-737 M
Short Long Term Debt2.7 B

Fortis 1St Technical Analysis

Fortis 1St's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortis Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortis 1St Cum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortis Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortis 1St Predictive Forecast Models

Fortis 1St's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortis 1St's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortis 1St's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortis 1St Cum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortis 1St for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortis 1St Cum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortis 1St Cum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fortis 1St Cum has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fortis 1St Cum has accumulated 25.93 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 125.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fortis 1St Cum has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fortis 1St until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis 1St's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis 1St Cum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis 1St's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fortis Preferred Stock

Fortis 1St financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortis Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortis with respect to the benefits of owning Fortis 1St security.