Federated Total Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.31
| FTGLX Fund | USD 9.30 0.02 0.22% |
Federated |
Federated Total Target Price Odds to finish over 10.31
The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.31 or more in 90 days |
| 9.30 | 90 days | 10.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Total to move over $ 10.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Federated Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federated Total Return price to stay between its current price of $ 9.30 and $ 10.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Total has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This usually indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Federated Total do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Federated Total's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Federated Total Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federated Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federated Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Federated Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federated Total generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Federated Total Return generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Federated Total Technical Analysis
Federated Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federated Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federated Total Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federated Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federated Total Predictive Forecast Models
Federated Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federated Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federated Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federated Total Return
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federated Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federated Total generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Federated Total Return generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Total security.
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