Templeton Strained Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.81

FTCAX Fund  USD 10.27  0.01  0.1%   
Templeton Strained's future price is the expected price of Templeton Strained instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Templeton Strained Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Templeton Strained Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Templeton Strained Correlation, Templeton Strained Hype Analysis, Templeton Strained Volatility, Templeton Strained History as well as Templeton Strained Performance.
  
Please specify Templeton Strained's target price for which you would like Templeton Strained odds to be computed.

Templeton Strained Target Price Odds to finish over 10.81

The tendency of Templeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.81  or more in 90 days
 10.27 90 days 10.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Templeton Strained to move over $ 10.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Templeton Strained Bond probability density function shows the probability of Templeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Templeton Strained Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 10.27  and $ 10.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Templeton Strained has a beta of 0.0148. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Templeton Strained average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Templeton Strained Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Templeton Strained Bond has an alpha of 0.0051, implying that it can generate a 0.005088 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Templeton Strained Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Templeton Strained

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton Strained Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1210.2710.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1310.2810.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0810.2310.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2210.2710.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Templeton Strained. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Templeton Strained's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Templeton Strained's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Templeton Strained Bond.

Templeton Strained Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Templeton Strained is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Templeton Strained's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Templeton Strained Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Templeton Strained within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.58

Templeton Strained Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Templeton Strained for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Templeton Strained Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund yields -1.0% to date and shows negative annual yield of 7.0%
Templeton Strained Bond retains about 86.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Templeton Strained Technical Analysis

Templeton Strained's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Templeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Templeton Strained Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Templeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Templeton Strained Predictive Forecast Models

Templeton Strained's time-series forecasting models is one of many Templeton Strained's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Templeton Strained's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Templeton Strained Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Templeton Strained for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Templeton Strained Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund yields -1.0% to date and shows negative annual yield of 7.0%
Templeton Strained Bond retains about 86.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Strained financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Strained security.
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