Nuveen Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 32.21

FSCWX Fund  USD 35.46  0.19  0.53%   
Nuveen Small's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Small Correlation, Nuveen Small Hype Analysis, Nuveen Small Volatility, Nuveen Small History as well as Nuveen Small Performance.
  
Please specify Nuveen Small's target price for which you would like Nuveen Small odds to be computed.

Nuveen Small Target Price Odds to finish below 32.21

The tendency of Nuveen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 32.21  or more in 90 days
 35.46 90 days 32.21 
about 22.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Small to drop to $ 32.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.03 (This Nuveen Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Small Cap price to stay between $ 32.21  and its current price of $35.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.55 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nuveen Small will likely underperform. Additionally Nuveen Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0204, implying that it can generate a 0.0204 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuveen Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.1435.4636.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.1535.4736.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.5734.9036.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.3635.6435.91
Details

Nuveen Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.55
σ
Overall volatility
1.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Nuveen Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Nuveen Small Technical Analysis

Nuveen Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Small Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Mutual Fund

Nuveen Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Small security.
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