Fidelity Managed Retirement Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 55.40

FRQHX Fund  USD 54.46  0.02  0.04%   
Fidelity Managed's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Managed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Managed Retirement performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Managed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Managed Correlation, Fidelity Managed Hype Analysis, Fidelity Managed Volatility, Fidelity Managed History as well as Fidelity Managed Performance.
  
Please specify Fidelity Managed's target price for which you would like Fidelity Managed odds to be computed.

Fidelity Managed Target Price Odds to finish over 55.40

The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 55.40  or more in 90 days
 54.46 90 days 55.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Managed to move over $ 55.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fidelity Managed Retirement probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Managed Ret price to stay between its current price of $ 54.46  and $ 55.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Managed has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity Managed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity Managed Retirement will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity Managed Retirement has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fidelity Managed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Managed Ret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.1854.4454.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.1254.3854.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.3954.6654.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.3754.5554.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fidelity Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fidelity Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fidelity Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fidelity Managed Ret.

Fidelity Managed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Managed Retirement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.44

Fidelity Managed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Managed Ret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 18.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Fidelity Managed Technical Analysis

Fidelity Managed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Managed Retirement. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Managed Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Managed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Managed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Managed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Managed Ret

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Managed Ret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 18.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Managed security.
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