Fridenson (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4935.0

FRDN Stock  ILS 4,935  58.00  1.16%   
Fridenson's future price is the expected price of Fridenson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fridenson performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fridenson Backtesting, Fridenson Valuation, Fridenson Correlation, Fridenson Hype Analysis, Fridenson Volatility, Fridenson History as well as Fridenson Performance.
  
Please specify Fridenson's target price for which you would like Fridenson odds to be computed.

Fridenson Target Price Odds to finish over 4935.0

The tendency of Fridenson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,935 90 days 4,935 
about 22.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fridenson to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.47 (This Fridenson probability density function shows the probability of Fridenson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fridenson has a beta of -0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fridenson are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fridenson is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fridenson has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fridenson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fridenson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fridenson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9324,9354,938
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,9133,9165,428
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,2145,2175,220
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,3034,7955,286
Details

Fridenson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fridenson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fridenson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fridenson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fridenson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
547.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Fridenson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fridenson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fridenson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fridenson appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fridenson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fridenson Technical Analysis

Fridenson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fridenson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fridenson. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fridenson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fridenson Predictive Forecast Models

Fridenson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fridenson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fridenson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fridenson

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fridenson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fridenson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fridenson appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fridenson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fridenson Stock

Fridenson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fridenson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fridenson with respect to the benefits of owning Fridenson security.