Regional Bank Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.76

FRBAX Fund  USD 28.60  1.93  6.32%   
Regional Bank's future price is the expected price of Regional Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regional Bank Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regional Bank Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Regional Bank Correlation, Regional Bank Hype Analysis, Regional Bank Volatility, Regional Bank History as well as Regional Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Regional Bank's target price for which you would like Regional Bank odds to be computed.

Regional Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 20.76

The tendency of Regional Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.76  or more in 90 days
 28.60 90 days 20.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Bank to drop to $ 20.76  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Regional Bank Fund probability density function shows the probability of Regional Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional Bank price to stay between $ 20.76  and its current price of $28.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Regional Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Regional Bank Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Regional Bank Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1520.0322.0224.226.5828.630.7432.7335.337.49Current PriceTargetRegional Bank Mean 0.050.100.15
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regional Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3728.6030.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9729.2031.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5927.8230.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.3532.6435.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Regional Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Regional Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Regional Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Regional Bank.

Regional Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Bank Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Regional Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.53% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Regional Bank Technical Analysis

Regional Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Bank Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regional Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Regional Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Bank's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regional Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.53% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Regional Mutual Fund

Regional Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Bank security.
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