Formfactor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.09
| FORM Stock | USD 45.92 1.15 2.44% |
FormFactor |
FormFactor Target Price Odds to finish below 29.09
The tendency of FormFactor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 29.09 or more in 90 days |
| 45.92 | 90 days | 29.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FormFactor to drop to $ 29.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FormFactor probability density function shows the probability of FormFactor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FormFactor price to stay between $ 29.09 and its current price of $45.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FormFactor has a beta of -0.0244. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FormFactor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FormFactor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FormFactor has an alpha of 0.1111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FormFactor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FormFactor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FormFactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FormFactor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FormFactor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FormFactor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FormFactor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FormFactor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
FormFactor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FormFactor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FormFactor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FormFactor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FormFactor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FormFactor Inc Stock Price Down 3.73 percent on Dec 27 |
FormFactor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FormFactor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FormFactor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FormFactor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.3 M |
FormFactor Technical Analysis
FormFactor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FormFactor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FormFactor. In general, you should focus on analyzing FormFactor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FormFactor Predictive Forecast Models
FormFactor's time-series forecasting models is one of many FormFactor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FormFactor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FormFactor
Checking the ongoing alerts about FormFactor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FormFactor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FormFactor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FormFactor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FormFactor Inc Stock Price Down 3.73 percent on Dec 27 |
Check out FormFactor Backtesting, FormFactor Valuation, FormFactor Correlation, FormFactor Hype Analysis, FormFactor Volatility, FormFactor History as well as FormFactor Performance. To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FormFactor. If investors know FormFactor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FormFactor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.259 | Earnings Share 1.73 | Revenue Per Share 9.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.212 | Return On Assets 0.0269 |
The market value of FormFactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FormFactor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FormFactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FormFactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FormFactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FormFactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FormFactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FormFactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FormFactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.